UK Casino Operators Highlight Risks from Proposed Machine Games Duty Rise
Lars Sullivan · Sep 25, 2026

UK Casino Operators Highlight Risks from Proposed Machine Games Duty Rise

The UK government has advanced a proposal to double Machine Games Duty from 20 percent to 40 percent, and casino groups have responded with detailed assessments showing how the adjustment would reshape operating costs across dozens of venues. Genting UK stands among those providing specific figures, noting that the change would add roughly £16 million each year to its expenses while rendering 13 of its 32 British casinos unsustainable under current revenue models.
Details of the Duty Adjustment and Immediate Cost Pressures
Under the existing framework Machine Games Duty applies to gaming machines in casinos, arcades, and betting shops, yet the planned increase targets machines located inside casino premises specifically. Observers note that the higher rate would compound existing overheads related to staffing, licensing, and property maintenance, creating a cumulative burden that many locations could not absorb without significant restructuring. Data compiled by Genting indicates that the additional £16 million annual outlay would push multiple sites into negative territory, prompting warnings that revenue collection might actually decline once closures begin.
Genting's Planned Investment at the London Trocadero
Genting has outlined a £50 million redevelopment of part of London's historic Trocadero site, converting the space into a modern casino that incorporates food outlets, beverage service, and live entertainment zones. The project carries projections for 350 to 400 permanent positions once operational, alongside several hundred temporary roles during the construction phase that spans multiple years. Company statements emphasize that these employment figures rest on the assumption that the broader duty environment remains stable enough to support ongoing operations across the Genting estate.
Industry analysts have examined how the duty hike interacts with regional differences in footfall and average spend, finding that London venues face distinct challenges compared with regional sites because of higher property costs and greater reliance on high-volume machine play. The Trocadero scheme therefore serves as a concrete example of capital deployment that could stall if operators conclude that post-tax margins no longer justify the initial outlay.

Employment and Operational Continuity Concerns
Across the Genting portfolio the potential closure of 13 casinos would affect both direct employees and the wider supply chain that supports food service, security, and maintenance contracts. Figures released by the operator show that each affected site currently sustains between 50 and 120 roles, producing a combined headcount at risk that reaches into the low thousands when indirect positions are included. Similar patterns have appeared in other jurisdictions where tax rates on gaming devices rose sharply, according to comparative data published by the OECD Centre for Tax Policy and Administration.
Construction timelines for the Trocadero conversion already incorporate phased opening dates that align with anticipated demand growth through 2026, yet Genting has indicated that final investment decisions hinge on clarity regarding the duty rate that will apply once the venue opens. Delays or cancellations at this scale would also remove hundreds of temporary trades jobs tied to fit-out and refurbishment work.
Revenue Implications and Sector-Wide Effects
Proponents of the duty increase have argued that additional receipts would flow directly to public finances without corresponding reductions elsewhere, yet casino operators counter that machine revenue represents a large share of total income at many locations. When that revenue stream contracts or disappears, overall tax yield from corporation tax, business rates, and payroll taxes falls in tandem. Reports compiled by the National Indian Gaming Commission in teh United States illustrate parallel outcomes in markets that experienced abrupt tax escalations, where net government collections sometimes declined after initial spikes.
Operators outside the Genting group have begun modeling their own exposure, with some indicating that marginal sites in secondary cities already operate close to break-even on machine play alone. The doubling of the duty would therefore accelerate consolidation rather than expand the taxable base, shifting activity toward a smaller number of larger, more efficient venues that can spread the higher cost across greater volumes.
Conclusion
The proposed adjustment to Machine Games Duty continues to generate detailed responses from major operators, each anchored in site-specific financial projections and employment data. Genting's Trocadero development remains a prominent illustration of planned expansion that now carries explicit caveats tied to the final duty rate. As discussions proceed, the sector's collective figures on job numbers, investment totals, and potential closures provide a factual baseline for evaluating whether the measure will deliver sustained revenue or trigger contraction across multiple regions.